Romney crushing it – huge shift in momentum becoming obvious


Last week’s debate wasn’t just good for Romney and disappointing for Obama. It was SPECTACULAR for Romney and DEVASTATING for Obama. Rasmussen polling showed an immediate tightening of the race but their results were pooh-pooh’d by many in the mainstream media because they tend to lean right. Yesterday, Gallup released a new post-debate poll that showed Romney and Obama tied at … wait for it … 47% each AND a whopping 72% of those surveyed declaring Romney the victor in the debate.

The Pew Research Center also released polling that showed just how devastating Obama’s performance was to his own campaign. Among all likely voters surveyed, Romney climbed from an 8-pt deficit to a 4-point lead. That’s a swing of 12 points with ONE debate. It get worse for Obama. Romney is now polling even among women voters. He was down EIGHTEEN points just last month in Pew’s previous survey. The trend continues. Romney has seen double-digit gains in the confidence the American people have in his ability to lead, up 13 points since September’s poll. Romney’s supporters are becoming more enthusiastic as well, up to 67% from 56% last month. That bodes well for poll turnout.

The good news for Romney continues: His favorables are up while Obama’s dropped 6 points. Romney also now leads on the questions of who would do a better job with the economy, the budget deficit and jobs. In less than one month, the Pew poll shows a 12-point gain for Romney in voters who like he would do a better job with the deficit, for example. There was a 9-pt swing on the issue of improving the job situation and a 10-point swing on the issue of taxes. Romney now leads in all three categories.

Heads exploding on the left isn’t limited just to Chris Matthews.) The Daily Beast’s Andrew Sullivan has a scathing piece asking if Obama just threw away the entire election. Here are some nuggets:

The Pew poll is devastating, just devastating. Before the debate, Obama had a 51 – 43 lead; now, Romney has a 49 – 45 lead. That’s a simply unprecedented reversal for a candidate in October….That gender gap that was Obama’s firewall? Over in one night:

Currently, women are evenly divided (47% Obama, 47% Romney). Last month, Obama led Romney by 18 points (56% to 38%) among women likely voters.

Seriously: has that kind of swing ever happened this late in a campaign? Has any candidate lost 18 points among women voters in one night ever? And we are told that when Obama left the stage that night, he was feeling good. That’s terrifying. On every single issue, Obama has instantly plummeted into near-oblivion.

But wait – there’s more!

I’ve never seen a candidate this late in the game, so far ahead, just throw in the towel in the way Obama did last week – throw away almost every single advantage he had with voters and manage to enable his opponent to seem as if he cares about the middle class as much as Obama does. How do you erase that imprinted first image from public consciousness: a president incapable of making a single argument or even a halfway decent closing statement?

Sullivan’s suggestions for an Obama comeback?

He always needed a clear positive proposal – tax reform, a Grand Bargain on S-B lines – as well as a sterling defense of his admirable record. Bill Clinton did the former for him. Everyone imaginable did what they could for him. And his response? Well, let’s look back a bit:

With President Obama holed up in a Nevada resort for debate practice, things can get pretty boring on the White House beat right now. Pretty boring for Obama too, apparently. “Basically they’re keeping me indoors all the time,” Obama told a supporter on the phone during a visit to a Las Vegas area field office. “It’s a drag,” he added. “They’re making me do my homework.”

Too arrogant to take a core campaign responsibility seriously. Too arrogant to give his supporters what they deserve.

Finally, there is this:

Maybe if Romney can turn this whole campaign around in 90 minutes, Obama can now do the same. But I doubt it. A sitting president does not recover from being obliterated on substance, style and likability in the first debate and get much of a chance to come back. He has, at a critical moment, deeply depressed his base and his supporters and independents are flocking to Romney in droves.

I’ve never seen a candidate self-destruct for no external reason this late in a campaign before. Gore was better in his first debate – and he threw a solid lead into the trash that night. Even Bush was better in 2004 than Obama last week. Even Reagan’s meandering mess in 1984 was better – and he had approaching Alzheimer’s to blame.

I’m trying to see a silver lining. But when a president self-immolates on live TV, and his opponent shines… and a record number of people watch, it’s hard to see how a president and his party recover.

If only the polls weren’t so biased, imagine the lead Romney would have. (wink)


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3 Responses to “Romney crushing it – huge shift in momentum becoming obvious”

  1. Richard Warnick Says:

    The presidential election will be decided in nine swing states. As long as President Obama is ahead in the swing states, Willard (“Mitt”) Romney is not winning.

  2. hollyonthehill Says:

    Ok, well there’s this then: Romney leads in 11-swing states….

  3. Ronald D. Hunt Says:

    You should use a composite of polls for a better evaluation of the situation.

    I suggest Nate silver.

    Ras has been off the last few elections and tends to under report minorities, women, and the elderly. Ras is predicting big drop offs in turnout among those groups without any justification for that assumption. They are also skewing the advantage in those groups, Rmoney isn’t going to win 30% of the Black vote and he certainly isn’t going to win 45% of the Latino vote.

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