The Salt Lake Tribune just released the poll Robert Gehrke has been teasing all evening. It’s a 12-point lead for Love with 52% to Matheson’s 40%. Undecideds only make up 6% of the vote.
Done by independent firm, Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, the poll found that “the coalition of Democrats, independents, moderate Republicans and women that Matheson has united in past elections is failing to coalesce this time around, with just 9 percent of Republicans crossing over to support him.”
Not only has Matheson relied on GOP cross-over votes, he has also relied heavily on the female vote. Look at his ads (before he went blisteringly negative) – “here’s my Mom,” “oh, look, we can our own food,” and so on. However, the Mason-Dixon poll shows that “Matheson is trailing badly among women, who favor Love — Matheson’s first female challenger — by a 54 percent to 38 percent margin, according to the Tribune poll. Matheson has routinely won by double digits among women voters.”
Matheson says it’s a call to action for his team (to polish their resumes), while Love says she feels encouraged by the momentum. Both campaigns will be on the ground working for the last 4 days, but a 12-point gap is awfully hard to close in less than 100 hours……..(understatement)